Tuesday, November 18, 2014

NFL Predictions


1. Chiefs 12-4 
2. Patriots 12-4 
3. Bengals 10-5-1 
4. Colts 10-6 
5. Broncos 10-6 
6. Dolphins 10-6 

Playoffs (home team listed first) 

Wild Card Round 

Bengals 7-31 Dolphins 

Colts 34-38 Broncos 

Divisional Round 

Chiefs 21-27 Dolphins 

Patriots 37-28 Broncos 

Conference Championship 

Patriots 30-21 Dolphins 


1. Packers 13-3 
2. Eagles 12-4 
3. Cardinals 12-4 
4. Falcons 7-9
5. Cowboys 12-4 
6. 49ers 11-5 

Playoffs (home team listed first)

Wild Card Round 

Cardinals 14-17 49ers 

Falcons 30-27 Cowboys (in overtime)

Divisional Round 

Packers 38-24 49ers 

Eagles 48-23 Falcons 

Conference Championship 

Packers 41-31 Eagles 

Super Bowl 

New England Patriots 34-38 Green Bay Packers 
Super Bowl MVP: Green Bay Quarterback Aaron Rodgers 

Saturday, October 18, 2014

Starting QB Rankings

1. Aaron Rodgers 
2. Phillip Rivers 
3. Andrew Luck 
4. Peyton Manning 
5. Matt Ryan 
6. Drew Brees 
7. Russell Wilson 
8. Matthew Stafford 
9. Eli Manning 
10. Tom Brady 
11. Jay Cutler 
12. Tony Romo 
13. Joe Flacco 
14. Austin Davis 
15. Colin Kaepernick 
16. Brian Hoyer 
17. Alex Smith 
18. Ben Roethlisberger 
19. Geno Smith 
20. Andy Dalton 
21. Mike Glennon 
22. Cam Newton 
23. Kirk Cousins 
24. Nick Foles 
25. Blake Bortles 
26. Ryan Tannehill 
27. Kyle Orton 
28. Derek Carr 
29. Teddy Bridgewater 
30. Carson Palmer 
31. Ryan Fitzpatrick 
32. Charlie Whitehurst 

Sunday, August 31, 2014

NFL Predictions



New England Patriots 
Wins Over/Under: 11.5 

Buffalo Bills 
Wins Over/Under: 8.5 

Miami Dolphins 
Wins Over/Under: 7.5 

New York Jets 
Wins Over/Under: 7.5 


Cleveland Browns 
Wins Over/Under: 8.5 

Pittsburgh Steelers 
Wins Over/Under: 8.5 

Cincinnati Bengals
Wins Over/Under: 8.5 

Baltimore Ravens 
Wins Over/Under: 7.5 


Indianapolis Colts 
Wins Over/Under: 10.5 

Houston Texans 
Wins Over/Under: 7.5 

Tennessee Titans 
Wins Over/Under: 5.5 

Jacksonville Jaguars 
Wins Over/Under: 4.5 


Denver Broncos 
Wins Over/Under: 10.5 

Oakland Raiders 
Wins Over/Under: 7.5 

San Diego Chargers 
Wins Over/Under: 7.5 

Kansas City Chiefs 
Wins Over/Under: 5.5 



New York Giants 
Wins Over/Under: 8.5 

Philadelphia Eagles
Wins Over/Under: 8.5 

Washington Redskins 
Wins Over/Under: 6.5 

Dallas Cowboys 
Wins Over/Under: 5.5 


Green Bay Packers 
Wins Over/Under: 11.5 

Chicago Bears 
Wins Over/Under: 9.5 

Minnesota Vikings 
Wins Over/Under: 6.5 

Detroit Lions 
Wins Over/Under: 4.5 


Tampa Bay Buccaneers 
Wins Over/Under: 9.5 

New Orleans Saints 
Wins Over/Under: 9.5 

Atlanta Falcons 
Wins Over/Under: 8.5 

Carolina Panthers 
Wins Over/Under: 6.5 


Seattle Seahawks 
Wins Over/Under: 11.5 

Arizona Cardinals 
Wins Over/Under: 10.5 

San Francisco 49ers 
Wins Over/Under: 9.5 

St. Louis Rams 
Wins Over/Under: 5.5 


1. New England Patriots 12-4 
2. Indianapolis Colts 11-5 
3. Denver Broncos 10-6
4. Cleveland Browns 9-7 
5. Pittsburgh Steelers 9-7 
6. Buffalo Bills 8-8 

Wild Card Round 

Denver Broncos 20-23 Buffalo Bills 

Cleveland Browns 17-20 Pittsburgh Steelers 

Divisional Round 

New England Patriots 34-24 Buffalo Bills 

Indianapolis Colts 28-27 Pittsburgh Steelers 

Conference Championship 

New England Patriots 27-20 Indianapolis Colts 

1. Green Bay Packers 12-4 
2. Seattle Seahawks 12-4 
3. Tampa Bay Buccaneers 10-6
4. New York Giants 9-7 
5. Chicago Bears 10-6
6. New Orleans Saints 10-6

Wild Card Round 

Tampa Bay Buccaneers 21-35 New Orleans Saints 

New York Giants 24-21 Chicago Bears 

Divisional Round 

Green Bay Packers 35-34 New Orleans Saints 

Seattle Seahawks 31-3 New York Giants 

Conference Championship 

Green Bay Packers 20-17 Seattle Seahawks 

Super Bowl 

New England Patriots 24-27 Green Bay Packers 

Super Bowl MVP: Green Bay Packers QB Aaron Rodgers 

Award Picks 

League MVP: QB Aaron Rodgers, Green Bay Packers 

Defensive Player of the Year: CB Joe Haden, Cleveland Browns 

Offensive Player of the Year: QB Drew Brees, New Orleans Saints 

Rookie of the Year: QB Johnny Manziel, Cleveland Browns 

Coach of the Year: Lovie Smith, Tampa Bay Buccaneers 

Monday, August 18, 2014

Taking a break

I'll be taking a break for the rest of August. 

Be back in September,

The Sports Kid 

Thursday, August 7, 2014

Eli Manning Entering Make-or-Break Year

He's won Super Bowl MVP twice. But he's also been top-two in league interceptions twice, including leading the league in picks last year. Now, at the age of 33, Eli Manning is entering a make-or break season. A season in which he will either rejuvenate his storied career, or enter a sharp decline from which he will never return. That's what this year looks like for the starting Quarterback of the New York Giants. 

The news broke on Monday. The news that David Wilson would be joining Chris Snee in retirement. Snee, a former Pro-Bowler and longtime Giant retired after an offseason back injury, saying he physically couldn't go through the grind of playing anymore. Wilson, at just 23 years of age, was also forced into retirement by an injury. He had spinal neck fusion surgery this offseason, and after announcing he was cleared to play just a few weeks ago, was told by doctors after suffering a practice injury that he could be permanently paralyzed if he ever played in the NFL again. Not only were these injuries devastating to the players that suffered them, they were also devastating to the Giants' 2014 season hopes. 

The loss of Snee makes an already appalling offensive line even worse. While the loss of Wilson not only weakens the Giants' already-poor running game, it also hurts the team's spirit. If that breaks at any point during the season, it may be too much for Tom Coughlin & co. to handle. 

Now: back to Manning. In a recent study, one sportswriter/mathematician did a study and found that if you do a study of all 27 of Eli Manning's interceptions last year, do you know how many were actually his fault? Two. That's right, two of Eli Manning's 27 interceptions last year were his fault. He threw an interception on 4.9 percent of his passes that year, an abysmally high number, especially for a Quarterback with such high prestige league-wide.

But, and there always is one, if you use the metric in which just two of his interceptions are his fault (which I firmly believe to be true), then his interception rate drops from 4.9 percent to a whopping 0.362 percent. That would put him ahead of Aaron Rodgers (2.1), his brother Peyton Manning (1.5), and even the league leader in this statistic for that year, Nick Foles, who had a 0.6 interception rate. 

It's really important that we know just how many of a Quarterback's interceptions are actually his fault before judging him on that statistic. 

Eli Manning played with the following wide receivers last year: Victor Cruz (double-teamed every game), Hakeem Nicks (zero touchdowns in what was supposed to be his breakout year), and Reuben Randle (wildly inconsistent and an above-average third Wide Receiver at best). That is the grand list of the New York Giants' 2013 receivers. 

Meanwhile, Eli's older brother, Peyton, had three Pro Bowl wideouts (Demaryius Thomas, Wes Welker, Eric Decker), as well as a Pro Bowl Tight End ("Orange" Julius Thomas), and a Pro Bowl running back (Knowshon Moreno). The younger Manning had to settle for Brandon Myers at Tight End and Peyton Hillis at Running Back. 

Hillis is perhaps the worst Running Back to start an NFL game in recent memory. Said Hillis after being signed by the Giants, "I stopped working out. I pretty much knew my NFL career was over, and I was living on my couch." Wow. That's not even a joke. The New York Giants starting Running Back for a lot of last season was working harder to get into shape than he was on actually scoring touchdowns. While Peyton Manning had Knowshon Moreno to hand-off to when in doubt, the younger Manning was handing the pigskin to a guy who had been signed off his couch, a guy who was still rounding himself into shape. 

Offensive lines matter, too. That's why the loss of Chris Snee is so huge. Manning was sacked 39 times last season with Snee blocking for him. Imagine what the line will look like this year without him. Those 39 sacks are not an outlier; the offensive line is also a big reason why Manning threw so many interceptions. If I was him I'd throw the ball too to avoid being smashed by a 300-pound monster too. And as I said earlier, a lot if times when he threw the ball with pressure on him he threw to an open man, only to see the ball be tipped and intercepted. 

The Giants brought in a new offensive coordinator in Ben McAdoo this offseason, to replace the fading Kevin Gilibride. McAdoo has said that  Manning's goal for this year is to complete 70 percent of his passes. While implausible, this is not entirely impossible. (The most recent person to do it was then-49ers Quarterback Alex Smith, who was benched that same year.) I don't know whether Manning will have a bounce-back year or another 20-plus interception year, but I do know this: it's a make-or-break year for Eli Manning, and this year may just decide the rest of his career. 

Wednesday, August 6, 2014

Pacers' George out for season; Giants' Wilson retires

Indiana Pacers Forward Paul George will miss all of the 2014-15 NBA season with an injury to his leg that he suffered during a scrimmage between the US team for the 2014 FIBA World Cup. On a play in which he went for a chase down block against Houston Rockets Guard James Harden, George landed the wrong way and his foot bent sideways like a snapped twig. The injury is bad for the Pacers, considering they already lost their best on-ball playmaker, Lance Stephenson, to the Hornets in free agency. They also lost 6th man Evan Turner to the Celtics. Remaining starters George Hill, David West, and Roy Hibbert will need to step up, as well as newly-acquired C.J. Miles, and Damjen Rudez if this team wants to contend for a playoff spot. The good news for Pacers fans is that George's injury was a clean one, and he is expected to make a full recovery, with his left leg expected to be even stronger than it was before the injury once he returns. It's still a devastating blow to a team that, until the injury, had strong championship aspirations. 

New York Giants running back David Wilson has announced his retirement from the NFL. Wilson, 23, was told by doctors that it would be unsafe for him to play due to lingering neck issues prior to his third season. 

Tuesday, July 29, 2014

Fantasy Football Rankings


1. Aaron Rodgers, Green Bay Packers 

2. Peyton Manning, Denver Broncos 

3. Drew Brees, New Orleans Saints 

4. Philip Rivers, San Diego Chargers 

5. Andrew Luck, Indianapolis Colts 

6. Colin Kaepernick, San Francisco 49ers 

7. Tom Brady, New England Patriots 

8. Matthew Stafford, Detroit Lions 

9. Cam Newton, Carolina Panthers 

10. Robert Griffin III, Washington Redskins 

Sleeper: Eli Manning, New York Giants 

Running Back 

1. Lesean McCoy, Philadelphia Eagles 

2. Jamaal Charles, Kansas City Chiefs 

3. Matt Forte, Chicago Bears 

4. Adrian Peterson, Minnesota Vikings 

5. Alfred Morris, Washington Redskins 

6. Demarco Murray, Dallas Cowboys 

7. Doug Martin, Tampa Bay Buccaneers 

8. Ryan Matthews, San Diego Chargers 

9. C.J. Spiller, Buffalo Bills 

10. Zac Stacy, St. Louis Rams 

Sleepers: Andre Ellington, Arizona Cardinals; Monte Ball, Denver Broncos  

Wide Receiver 

1. Dez Bryant, Dallas Cowboys 

2. Julio Jones, Atlanta Falcons 

3. Jordy Nelson, Green Bay Packers 

4. Calvin Johnson, Detroit Lions 

5. T.Y. Hilton, Indianapolis Colts 

6. A.J. Green, Cincinnati Bengals 

7. Victor Cruz, New York Giants 

8. Desean Jackson, Washington Redskins 

9. Demaryius Thomas, Denver Broncos 

10. Wes Welker, Denver Broncos 

Sleeper: Corradarrelle Patterson, Minnesota Vikings 

Tight End 

1. Jimmy Graham, New Orleans Saints  

2. Rob Gronkowski, New England Patriots 

3. Jordan Reed, Washington Redskins 

4. Vernon Davis, San Francisco 49ers 

5. Antonio Gates, San Diego Chargers 

6. Dennis Pitta, Baltimore Ravens 

7. Charles Clay, Miami Dolphins 

8. Owen Daniels, Houston Texans 

9. Jason Witten 

10. Dwayne Allen, Indianpolis Colts 

Sleeper: Zac Ebron, Detroit Lions 


1. San Francisco 49ers 

2. Seattle Seahawks 

3. Carolina Panthers 

4. Arizona Cardinals 

5. St. Louis Rams 

6. New Orleans Saints 

7. New York Jets 

8. Cincinnati Bengals 

9. New England Patriots 

10. Tampa Bay Buccaneers 

Sleeper: Oakland Raiders